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Fase 1 · Concienciación Strategic AI, data and analytics

Decision intelligence over static reporting: forecasting cash, inventory and churn

How finance and operations move from looking back at last month to forecasting cash flow, stock and customer churn from the same operational data.

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Executive guide For CFOs, chief data officers, supply chain directors
The short answer

A report tells you what happened. A decision model tells you what to do next and how sure it is. Start with one decision, such as how much cash you will have in thirteen weeks, and build backwards from it.

Stages

From report to decision

  1. 1
    Name the decision Write down the decision, who makes it and how often: reorder, collect, hire, discount.
  2. 2
    Find the drivers List the data that moves it: open invoices, payment history, lead times, demand.
  3. 3
    Build the forecast Start with a simple, explainable model on the governed data. Add sophistication only if it beats the simple one.
  4. 4
    Put it in the workflow Show the forecast where the decision is made, with the reasons beside it.
  5. 5
    Close the loop Compare forecast with result every period and retrain or retire the model.
Decision points

Three questions that change the answer

Is the decision made often enough to justify a model?

YesBuild it.

NoKeep a report and a conversation.

Can the user see why the model says this?

YesRelease it to users.

NoSimplify it until they can.

Does it beat the simple baseline?

YesKeep it.

NoUse the baseline.

Milestones

What done looks like, and when

  1. Month 1 Decision and baseline measured.
  2. Month 2 First forecast on governed data.
  3. Month 3 Forecast embedded in the workflow.
  4. Quarterly Forecast accuracy reviewed.
Principles we hold to
  • Begin with the decision, not the dashboard.
  • Explainable beats clever.
  • Always compare with a simple baseline.
  • Retire models that stop earning their place.

Preguntas frecuentes

What is decision intelligence?

Using data and models to improve a specific, repeated business decision, with the reasons shown to the person making it, instead of only reporting history.

Can Dynamics 365 forecast cash flow?

Yes. Cash forecasting, inventory forecasting and customer analytics can be built on Dynamics 365 data with the Microsoft data and AI stack. Accuracy depends on your history and data quality.

Take this to your own programme. Tell us where you are. We will tell you plainly what this means for your estate and what we would do first. Reserva una consulta Next: Retail and FMCG: a Dynamics 365 blueprint for POS, fiscal compliance and branch networks →
Cómo se desarrolla un compromiso

Comienza con una consulta de 45 minutos, luego un taller de descubrimiento y ajuste de recursos sobre tus propios procesos. Recibes un ajuste de espacios escritos y un plan por fases antes de acordar un programa. Siguen cuatro fases, cada una con algo que puedes usar y revisar.

01

Descubre

Talleres de procesos, auditoría de datos y un ajuste con el producto estándar.

02

Diseño

Plano de la solución, mapa de integración y las extensiones que realmente necesitaremos.

03

Despliegue

Configuración, ensayo de migración, formación basada en roles, UAT y transición por fases.

04

Apoyo

Hypercare, servicios gestionados, portal de clientes, revisiones de optimización programada.

Qué genera el coste: usuarios, entidades legales y monedas, integraciones, migración de datos y las lagunas que se encuentran respecto a los estándares. Descubre cómo funciona el precio, ejecuta la puntuación de preparación de tres minutos o reserva una consulta.

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